Pages

Tuesday, April 19, 2016

20¢ and Other Paradigms

Debates, town halls, primaries, and caucuses are all the talk since we know we will have a different President in January of 2017.  The political stance and personality traits of the candidates remain in stark contrast from where I sit.  As I read Facebook, Twitter, etc. I hear from a host of folks whom I know to be bright, well-meaning people.  And yet, they are all over the place politically:  Trump is wonderful/Trump is a buffoon, Cruz is our savior/Cruz is scary power-hungry, Hillary is a doer/Hillary is a lying politician, Bernie is a philosopher/Bernie is a crackpot.  How can so many arrive at such different conclusions given the same reality?

This is not, it appears to me, to be a case of “I like vanilla more than chocolate.”  It is much more complicated than that.  It is based on how I view the world and how I interpret the data I receive while viewing the world.

Rosenthal and Jacobson, (1968), conducted a study of teacher expectations and student achievement.  They identified for teachers some of the students in their classrooms and were told these students were “late bloomers” but would do well by the end of the year.  The kids, unbeknownst to the teachers, were chosen randomly.  Low and behold, the kids teachers believed would bloom soon showed the most growth that year.  Teachers helped make low performers, but late bloomers, successful.  Teachers expected those results and got them.

We all have experienced the opposite effect as well.  Someone thinks we are a failure, inept, etc., and no matter what we do they see failure.  I have written about this before under “Black Dots.” 

We have paradigms.  Ways we view the world.  If I see the world as one huge multinational conspiracy then every piece of data I take in will confirm such a conspiracy.  I will ignore data contrary to my paradigm.  If I believe UFO’s are visiting us nightly, then every photo and radar blip I see will confirm such visits.  If I believe in Christianity, then every good thing is the result of prayer.  On and on.  The bottom line is, when we view the world a certain way we only see data that confirms our view and ignore data that is contrary to our view.

So people who hate Obama have a really hard time seeing the data that shows our economy has turned around, unemployment has dropped, national debt has dropped, we have substantially withdrawn from two major conflicts in the Mideast, and we have provided medical insurance for the first time to millions of Americans.  They will only see the negative hyperbole.

Educated folks must challenge their paradigm to know whether they are simply practicing self-fulfilling prophecy or are they collecting reasonable data that confirm their current view.  Am I willing to study the data that conflicts with my world view?  If so, I am willing to challenge my paradigm.  If I only listen to people who share my paradigm not only will I become more entrenched in my paradigm and more defensive about it, I will miss opportunities for real learning and discovery.

When you make a paradigm shift, a change in your world view from what you saw before to what you see now, there will be a feeling of great excitement and adventure and possibly fear as you let go of earlier lenses for a new pair.  Once your paradigm has shifted you will immediately be able to detect the folks still stuck in their old paradigm.  We have all laughed at the 17 year old who screams, “I am an adult!” while acting childlike, knowing that they do not yet have a clue what being an adult means.  But, it is impossible to explain that to the 17 year old.

Futurist Joel Barker tells a fascinating story about watches.  In 1980 95% of all watches made and sold world-wide came from Switzerland.  Swiss watch makers had research labs to help them improve future watches, and out of one of their labs came a proposed digital watch.  From the Swiss point of view it was not a watch.  It did not have hands, it did not have gears, it did not have jewels, and therefore, it was not a watch.  The Swiss sold the patent to Seiko in Japan for a mere pittance.   Five years later 95% of the watches in the world were made in Japan.  Japan made no watches at all in 1980.  The Swiss were stuck in their view of a watch and could not get beyond it.

I think such entrenched paradigms blind us, hold us back.  Here I sit as a 66 year-old man, upgrading and improving my router, blogging, tweeting, Facebooking, smart phoning, smart TVing, etc.  I have transitioned from the industrial age to the information age to the digital age all in my lifetime.  I recognize I am not a native in tech land, but I surely am an immigrant, undocumented at that.

Have you heard someone recently say they long for the good old days?  I hear it a lot.  The problem is, of course, that the good old days were another paradigm.  We have moved beyond that.  Everyone grows comfortable in their current paradigm, and if the world shifts it may seem that the only source of safety and security lies in yesteryear under old paradigms.  No thank you.  I am not going back there because we do so many more wonderful things now and we do them well.  Do not think there is safety in the old paradigms.  Just ask the Swiss watchmakers.

The following are just a few of the new paradigms I see from my lofty perch on the Texas Gulf Coast 64 feet above sea level:

Everyone has a smart phone and the world changed.  We now have instant video of every event good or bad.  Everybody is now observed all the time everywhere.  We have instant communication one-on-one, or with millions of people.  We have any fact you seek and the current Doppler radar just a touch away.  We ask kids in school to put away the most modern technological device they have when they enter the classroom and I think that is just old paradigm stuff.  So kids power down while we try to tell them what they could look up in mere seconds.  Facts are boring because no one knows them all and no one needs to.  (I predict a painful demise of spelling bees as rituals of a much older paradigm – he says while my word processor auto corrects my boo-boos.)

It appears that everything that matters comes to me digitally.  I shop on line.  I get my news on line.  I share baby pictures on line.  I can meet a spouse on line and check the news.  And heaven forbid that I ever have to write a letter by hand.  It would take hours and no one could read it.

Teachers and principals and legislators who are over the age of about 50 tend not to be in touch with these new ways of interacting with the world, and yet they are the policy makers and the cultural transmitters.  The absolutely most challenging group to teach are members of AARP.  When you hear a sentence that begins, “It was good enough for….” You are listening to a promoter of past paradigms.  PPPers.

With all our technology we are losing the ability to converse, and the ability to reflect, identify trends and themes and concepts.  Digital music and photos can never replace a concert or gallery, nor email a hug or a kiss. 

In all our new paradigms there is also a risk of organizing a view of the world, seeking followers, then becoming so rooted in the paradigm that any one in any other paradigm is bad or wrong or infidel.  “My view is the correct view!” they all yell.  And they all have facts to back up their paradigm.  But they do not have the ability to reflect, identify trends and themes and concepts, and that is scary.  Polarization cannot be mistaken for a strategy to end global warming.

So, if you feel every kid should learn cursive handwriting and the “old” math, that fossil fuels make us great not weak, that time in front of any screen is too much time, and that men should be men and women should be women (whatever that is) then, my friend, you are a poster child of the old paradigms, a PPPer.  We used to say get on the band wagon.  Perhaps now we should say all aboard the high speed rail.  And keep your cell phones out.  You never know when a once in a lifetime event is going to happen right in front of you!  (The first contact or the second coming, or just a fight on the playground!)


We also used to say, that’s my 2¢.  Now it is more likely my 20¢.  Another new pair-a-dimes.

No comments:

Post a Comment